Charizard ex Deck loses most often to Bellibolt ex Deck, which takes 75% of their recorded games. Across 81 measured pairings it has 10 losing matchups, computed from tournament results rather than from the type chart — the matchups a deck actually loses, not the ones it theoretically should. Measured 3 August 2026.
Win rate of each deck against Charizard ex Deck, measured across tournament results.
Charizard ex Deck’s core Pokémon are weak to water. That explains part of the spread above — but the percentages are measured from recorded games, so a deck can beat it without ever exploiting the type chart.
Each percentage comes from games recorded between the two archetypes in competitive tournaments, decayed by age with a 35-day half-life so the numbers track the current meta. A pairing appears only once it has at least two tournaments of evidence, and rates are capped at 25–75% to stop a thin sample reading as a hard counter. Measured 3 August 2026.
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